Why this call

England are a strong side under Tuchel with Kane, Bellingham, Saka, and Rice all present, giving them quality across the pitch. Croatia still have Modric (now 40), Kovacic, Gvardiol and Kramaric but are an aging side in transition. England's attacking depth significantly outweighs Croatia's. In their most recent major tournament meeting (Euro 2020 group stage), England won 1-0; historically these are tight games. England are favored but Croatia are defensively organized and capable of scoring, making a 2-1 England win the most likely scenario with moderate confidence given the competitive nature of this fixture.